Chance, Luck, and Statistics: The Science of Change - download pdf or read online

By Horace C. Levinson

ISBN-10: 0486210073

ISBN-13: 9780486210070

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Additional info for Chance, Luck, and Statistics: The Science of Change

Sample text

I n the days when science was virtually the exclusive property of a few isolated individuals, it could not be expected that popular beliefs would be much influenced by it. Today the case is radically otherwise; as everyone knows, we have been fairly bombarded with scientific products and by-products. Home, office, street, and farm are teeming with them. " And the man in the street believes in science, or at least claims to. He has seen it work and, almost without realizing it, trusts his life daily to the accuracy of its predictions.

Let us take a closer look at the reasoning of this particular midshipman. belief that after a ball had hit, the chance that a second one would hit the same spot is smaller than the chance that it would hit any other spot, designated in advance. Before the engagement began, the betting odds were enormously against two balls' landing on the same spot, say a certain one of the portholes, but once half the "miracle" has been accomplished, the betting odds are immediately reduced to the odds that any indicated spot will not be hit.

I n the days when science was virtually the exclusive property of a few isolated individuals, it could not be expected that popular beliefs would be much influenced by it. Today the case is radically otherwise; as everyone knows, we have been fairly bombarded with scientific products and by-products. Home, office, street, and farm are teeming with them. " And the man in the street believes in science, or at least claims to. He has seen it work and, almost without realizing it, trusts his life daily to the accuracy of its predictions.

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Chance, Luck, and Statistics: The Science of Change by Horace C. Levinson


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